Ever hear of an area called the mathematics of unconcious premonitions? Maybe you have avoided it...read on!
By definition, a premonition is "an impressionable warning of a future event." Sometimes these intuitive warnings are too subtle that the conscious mind ignores them but the unconcious mind may not.
For example, in the 1950-60's, W. F. Cox's research concluded that "fewer people travel on trains that are destined to have an accident than on trains that are not." His explanation: some potential passengers had unconscious premonitions that led to their not traveling on a particular train.
His research approach: For the time period 1950-1955, Cox studied railroad company data on the number of passengers on a given train on the day of an accident, plus for each of the six days preceding the crash and the corresponding day in each of the four preceding weeks.
He discovered that "on some accident days, but not all, there was a dramatic decrease in passengers."
An example is the Chicago & East Illinois Georgian train, which had an accident on June 15, 1952. On that day, it carried only 9 coach passengers, where as the six days prior, it carried 68, 60, 53, 48, 62, and 70 coach passengers. The week previous on that same day of the week, it had 35 coach passengers, plus in the three other weeks considered, it had 55, 53, and 54 passengers. That is, for the ten days examined, the train carried an average of 55.8 passengers, far more than the mere 9 who traveled on the day of the accident.
Cox's conclusion: "Many of those intending to travel the disaster-bound trains had unconsciously altered their plans or missed the trains by being late"...i.e. unconcious premonitions in action!
As a second example, Chicago, Milwaukie, & Pacific's Train No. 15 had a bad accident on December 15, 1952 with 55 passengers on board. On the majority of the previous seven days, the same train had more than 100 passengers, with the average number of passengers being 50% higher than on the day of the accident.
A third example is the Titanic, which had only 58% of its passenger load when it sank in April, 1912, including a lack of 22 coal stokers who somehow were late for this maiden voyage and left behind by the Captain!
After Cox's research and other "unconcious premonition" disasters (e.g. ), Great Britain started a Premonition Bureau in 1967, with New York establishing the Central Premonition Bureau one year later. Both were designed to collect and screen early premonition-based warnings in an effort to prevent disasters. But, both bureaus died out quickly due to low budgets, poor public relations, and an overload of inaccurate but well-intentioned information.
My reason for mentioning the mathematics of unconcious premonitions is that it is time to perhaps gather new and more recent data. I "feel" there is something of value here, plus am well aware of stories of premonitions regarding the 911 tragedy, plane crashes, and other disasters. Yet, I hear my wife calling, saying it is time to return to my hole!
Source: Data from Journal of the American Society for Psychical Research, 1956, 99-109 & RD's Mysteries of the Unexplained, 1982, 29..